Did DJI hit the bottom?
It's on my target from previous post 6840<>6550<>6040, low @ 6469.95 (source Google Finance) and developing a structure that could indicate a very possible reversal i.e. formed bottom and beginning of a new uptrend cycle.
ID
NOTICE: This are not Trade recommendations or advices and I don't accept any responsibility what soever.
KNOW WHAT OTHERS DON'T
Welcome to my Market Directions ramblings.
I mainly focus on Major Forex pairs.
The idea is to grasp Intermediate to Longer term market moves.
I use different aspects of Technical Analysis and I take into consideration economic news data, but just in conjunction with my technical analysis.
Comments and criticism are welcome as long as they are constructive and will help both readers and me to improve our understanding of markets moves.
Monday, March 16, 2009
Sunday, January 04, 2009
End of THE Recession?
Hi there,
I wrote this to a friend of mine a week ago and it's something I had in mind for some time.
I took a look at the Dow and I searched to find a chart of adjusted Dow for it's real value (represented in Gold) but I found just this chart of inflation adjusted DJ which is probably very similar picture.
As you can see, while the DJIA (blue line) made new high at the beginning of 2007 the adjusted Dow (red line) never made it so high.
Based on the adjusted DJIA chart, it is quite possible that we are living the last leg of the larger correction that started 2000.
:)
Just to cheer you up.
There are some other indications supporting this view. IMHO we need to wait for just a few months more to see the developing.
On my charts from few days ago, you'll see I forecast DJI to go up to 10,200 (it's not actually shown but it can be seen based on the fib ext tool points...) before it dips possibly to end this correction down to 6840<>6550<>6040.
Few months ago I said I expect Dow Jones US Home Construction Index to end it's fall, and it now shows some indication of a possible reversal. This supports previously said, but it will take time to be confirmed. (.DJUSHB on Google Finance you can see a possible IM - Impulsive wave 1 up finished....)
I was doing some analysis on few Forex pairs, but still far from being in shape. I mainly look for short term moves, still trying to grasp the bigger picture.
(still considering few options for my future posts
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